DETROIT -- Out in the prosperous suburbs northwest of Detroit, the first days of summer are glorious with warm sunny days and gardens in bloom even as the auto industry that feeds the region's wealth teeters on the brink of collapse.
In the heart of this once great city, there is nothing but the smell of decay. Houses sell for less than $5,000, one in four people are unemployed, whole neighborhoods are returning to a state of nature unseen since the first settlers came here.
The long-term failure of leadership in the auto industry and the political and civic culture of
And as is usual in such cases, those who have failed offer versions of the same excuse: If we knew then what we know now...
I can't help seeing the parallel with my town given my obsession with trying to get the leadership of LA to learn from the mistakes we and others have made that have led to the decline of great cities, the destruction of the middle class and the separation of our communities like you see here in the difference between Detroit and its wealthy suburbs.
And yet I see City Hall's leadership doing what they have done for so long as they created the city's financial crisis and continue to repeat the mistakes of the past.
The deal on the table with the city's unions guarantee, that short of an economic miracle, LA will soon be just as bankrupt as Detroit is today, that the disparity between rich and poor will grow and the middle class shrink, that suburbs will thrive in and the inner city decay.
My friend Karen Kanter foreshadowed the future in a new comment on a piece I wrote entitled "What Price Labor Peace..."on City Hall's buyout plan to reduce the payroll.
"If this goes through, I think we can count on our mayor to say next year or the year after that: 'No one could have predicted these kind of budget shortfalls.'"
For all the talk about no pay raises (for everyone except the DWP) and furloughs and layoffs, what's on the table is an early retirement package that lets city workers get enhanced pensions with lifetime health benefits and voluntary leave at age 55 with as much as a $33,000 cash payoff for many.
Eliminating 2,500 jobs through early retirement plus 1,200 others that are vacant and deferring pay raises will allow city officials to achieve a balanced budget on paper.
Think about it: If you're 55 and the boss will pad your pension up to 75 percent of your highest salary or even 90 percent for police and fire and give you a bundle of cash, would you be delighted to retire and go fishing?
Certainly those the mayor called "deadwood" will jump at this deal but so will many others whose knowledge and skill is irreplaceable.
The unions price for this deal is to raise their contribution level from 6 to 6.75 percent -- still a third less than Social Security deductions in the private sector -- and waiting two years to start getting raises every six months to make them whole as if this was all just a terrible dream.
"Once that two-year period is over, however, those same workers would receive six pay increases between July 1, 2011, and Jan 1, 2014, ranging from 2.25% to 4%, most of them delayed from their current contract," according to a draft proposal obtained by David Zahnisher in the Times. "Those workers also would receive an extra cash payout equal to 1.75% of their salaries in 2012 and 2013."
This is a fantasy that will become a nightmare.
City and union officials know this. So who are they kidding? The public obviously but city workers as well.
This inability to face reality is why the city kept giving big raises and increases in benefits for years. And now that the bills have come due, they still don't have the courage to face the truth that city government costs too much and delivers too little.
When this deal blows up it will be because the soaring cost of city pensions and payrolls is unaffordable. We will never be able to pay for these bills. We will face even more severe cuts soon enough and city services will continue to decline and cause further erosion in the city's economic base.
It's not a mystery. It's what has happened to Detroit and other cities in decay and it's what has been happening year after year in LA.